Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 2.117991e-02 0.023388 0.025593 0.027954 0.030406 0.032873 0.035537
2025-03-02 1.665212e-02 0.020136 0.023742 0.027726 0.031977 0.036357 0.041188
2025-03-09 1.395795e-02 0.018175 0.022665 0.027736 0.033250 0.039018 0.045464
2025-03-16 1.155390e-02 0.016221 0.021329 0.027218 0.033727 0.040622 0.048411
2025-03-23 9.970966e-03 0.015011 0.020665 0.027298 0.034724 0.042672 0.051722
2025-03-30 8.404138e-03 0.013670 0.019734 0.026973 0.035183 0.044053 0.054228
2025-04-06 6.975871e-03 0.012364 0.018744 0.026497 0.035399 0.045102 0.056310
2025-04-13 5.380438e-03 0.010697 0.017223 0.025322 0.034753 0.045135 0.057216
2025-04-20 4.774097e-03 0.010253 0.017134 0.025782 0.035936 0.047177 0.060313
2025-04-27 3.906758e-03 0.009369 0.016446 0.025490 0.036218 0.048176 0.062222
2025-05-04 3.054534e-03 0.008406 0.015601 0.024962 0.036190 0.048797 0.063680
2025-05-11 2.577448e-03 0.007942 0.015364 0.025149 0.036977 0.050322 0.066132
2025-05-18 1.962330e-03 0.007231 0.014835 0.025044 0.037512 0.051672 0.068525
2025-05-25 1.378991e-03 0.006472 0.014215 0.024826 0.037931 0.052917 0.070838
2025-06-01 9.603207e-04 0.005899 0.013803 0.024836 0.038595 0.054421 0.073422
2025-06-08 5.256347e-04 0.005116 0.013029 0.024342 0.038621 0.055162 0.075114
2025-06-15 2.941407e-04 0.004672 0.012713 0.024418 0.039319 0.056668 0.077666
2025-06-22 9.258257e-05 0.004084 0.012129 0.024109 0.039524 0.057580 0.079518
2025-06-29 1.985267e-07 0.003482 0.011462 0.023656 0.039528 0.058236 0.081060
2025-07-06 NaN 0.002666 0.010344 0.022538 0.038668 0.057846 0.081373
2025-07-13 NaN 0.002516 0.010357 0.022976 0.039755 0.059762 0.084348
2025-07-20 NaN 0.002118 0.009876 0.022697 0.039921 0.060566 0.086021
2025-07-27 NaN 0.001685 0.009260 0.022196 0.039785 0.060995 0.087244